4 Jan 2012

Maximum Fraud in U.S. Treasuries Market

Written by Jeff Nielson
Spending as much time as I do writing about the Land of Fraud, I never thought I would see myself using the phrase “maximum fraud” to describe any U.S. market. Each time I thought I had witnessed the apex of human fraud, within a matter of weeks or perhaps months I would witness some even more extreme outrage.
One should never underestimate Federal Reserve Chairman B.S. Bernanke, however, when the subject turns to fraud and deceit. This is the same man who told the world (day after day) that the U.S. had a “Goldilocks economy”, where U.S. markets and house prices would keep going up forever – at the very peak of the made-in-Wall-Street U.S. housing bubble. This is the same man who then promised the world (again and again) that the U.S. economy would experience a “soft landing” after that gigantic bubble had already burst. This is the same man who has announced more “exit strategies” than Harry Houdini – with not one of them ever materializing.
Yet even the infamous “Helicopter Ben” Bernanke has outdone himself with his latest operations in the U.S. Treasuries market. For those who missed the news, foreign central banks (the largest holders of U.S. Treasuries) have been frantically dumping more Treasuries onto the market over the past four weeks than at any other time in U.S. history.
Those with even the tiniest understanding of supply/demand fundamentals understand how markets operate in such situations. When there is a sudden explosion of supply, the price buyers are willing to pay for that good plummets until enough new buyers enter the market to soak-up all of that excess supply.
So how far have U.S. Treasuries prices fallen during this “panic” in the U.S. Treasuries market? Zero. To comprehend the absolute absurdity of this situation requires adding one more piece of data to our scenario: U.S. Treasuries prices are currently at their highest level in history – despite the fact that the United States has never been less solvent...
...We thus have the one-and-only “exception” to the bankers’ Market Principle that it’s always best to hide their manipulation of markets: when the sheep are spooked so badly that they are reassured to be told that a market is being manipulated.
There is yet one more reason to find this latest episode of Treasuries-fraud to be especially alarming. Generally anyone engaging in such a massive, serial fraud would make efforts todisguise their actions. Yet here we have absolutely no attempt to do so.
Had the Fed’s fraudsters allowed Treasuries prices to decline at least modestly during this latest panic in the U.S. bond market, then at least they could have made a semi-plausible claim that (somehow) a herd of new sheep had suddenly and miraculously shown up to buy that massive amount of unwanted bonds (at near-record prices). Instead we have a farce so utterly absurd that it should not fool anyone with the brain-power to be able to count their fingers and toes (with only a minimal number of mistakes): infinite buyers lining-up to buy worthless U.S. Treasuries at the highest prices in history – despite there being zero visible buyers in this market.
I would suggest that it is impossible to construct a more outrageous scenario, even in totally hypothetical terms. On that basis it seems entirely reasonable to dub these latest events “maximum fraud”.